Supply Chain Attacks: Moving From Third-Party Risk Checklists To Intelligence-Led Monitoring
Supply chain attacks are now one of the most pressing challenges in cybersecurity. By exploiting trusted vendors, contractors, and third-party services, adversaries can bypass even the strongest internal defenses. Recent incidents like SolarWinds and the MOVEit breach have shown that just a single weak link can cause tremendous damage and impact thousands of organizations at once.
Traditionally, third-party risk management has been done with static checklists, questionnaires, and periodic audits. These methods will tell you what a vendor’s security looked like at the moment you asked the questions or ran the audit, but attackers don’t wait for your next scheduled check-in. Every day spent waiting for the next audit is another day of blind spots that adversaries can exploit.
Intelligence-led monitoring closes these gaps. Instead of backward-looking reports, it delivers a live picture of your vendor ecosystem, revealing new vulnerabilities as they appear and helping teams act before a threat spreads. In a landscape that evolves by the hour, this shift from static oversight to continuous intelligence is the only way to stay ahead.
Key takeaways:
- Supply chain attacks exploit trusted relationships. Attackers compromise vendors, contractors, and third-party services to reach their ultimate targets, often bypassing strong internal defenses.
- Traditional risk management falls short. Static questionnaires, audits, and self-reported data provide only outdated snapshots, leaving blind spots that attackers exploit between assessments.
- Attack methods are varied and growing. Cyber-criminals continue to find new ways to exploit weaknesses across interconnected systems, turning trusted relationships, shared platforms, and even routine business processes into entry points for attack.
- Recent incidents show the stakes. Breaches like SolarWinds, Linux, and MOVEit demonstrate how one weak link can cascade into massive disruption across industries and governments.
- Real-time intelligence is essential. Continuous monitoring, early warning signals, contextual prioritization, and proactive defense shift supply chain risk management from reactive to preventive.
- Best practices demand collaboration. Enterprises must map and prioritize vendors, integrate external intelligence, monitor continuously, and coordinate across security, procurement, IT, and legal teams.
- Recorded Future delivers visibility that drives decisions. Automated risk scoring and threat intelligence help organizations discover vendor incidents before disclosure, compare supplier risk in minutes instead of days, and integrate intelligence directly into existing workflows.
Understanding Supply Chain Attacks
A supply chain attack is an indirect cyberattack in which adversaries compromise third-party vendors, tools, or services to infiltrate their ultimate targets. Rather than striking organizations head-on, attackers exploit the trust placed in partners and suppliers.
Because most organizations lack deep visibility into their vendor ecosystems, even small suppliers or overlooked open-source libraries can become vulnerable entry points. Modern applications depend on hundreds of third-party components, creating an enormous and complex attack surface. Just one compromised dependency can cascade across thousands of organizations, amplifying the impact far beyond the initial target.
Common Supply Chain Attacks
Supply chain attacks take many different forms, depending on the vendor, service, or technology being targeted. Below are some of the most common attack methods that organizations need to understand and defend against:
Vendor data breaches
Attackers target third-party providers to steal customer data, credentials, or payment information. Because these vendors often serve multiple clients, a single breach can ripple out to dozens or even hundreds of organizations at once. The stolen information may then be sold, leaked, or reused in further attacks, compounding the impact.
Technology vulnerability exploitation
Threat actors scan vendor environments for unpatched software, misconfigurations, or exposed services. Once inside, they can use that initial foothold to launch broader attacks against the vendor’s customers.
Ransomware extortion campaigns
Threat actors compromise a supplier, encrypt data, and threaten to publish sensitive files on dark web leak sites. Often, these disclosures appear before the vendor has even detected the breach, adding pressure on both the supplier and its downstream customers to pay quickly.
Infrastructure and domain compromises
Malicious actors hijack vendor-owned domains, email systems, or network infrastructure. This allows them to impersonate the vendor, send phishing emails, or distribute malware under the guise of legitimate communications.
Trusted access abuse
Adversaries use stolen vendor credentials or exploit privileged relationships to bypass security controls. Since the vendor already has legitimate access, these intrusions often evade detection for long periods.
Fourth-party service attacks
Instead of targeting a direct supplier, attackers compromise shared platforms or cloud providers that many vendors rely on. This creates a multiplier effect, where a single incident cascades across entire ecosystems of dependent organizations.
Open-source component tampering
Attackers inject malicious code into widely used open-source libraries, APIs, or software packages. Once adopted by vendors, the backdoored components spread downstream to customers without raising immediate alarms.
Managed service provider and contractor targeting
Managed service providers (MSPs) and consultants often hold broad, privileged access across multiple clients. By compromising a single MSP, attackers can simultaneously reach dozens of customer environments with minimal effort.
High-Profile Supply Chain Attacks
In the past few years, a series of high-profile supply chain incidents has made clear just how fragile and interconnected today’s digital ecosystem is. These events have shown that compromises at a single vendor can ripple outward to disrupt critical infrastructure, expose sensitive data, and impact millions.
SolarWinds
The SolarWinds cyberattack, uncovered in December 2020, was one of the most significant supply-chain breaches in history. Attackers infiltrated the build environment of SolarWinds’ Orion IT management software and inserted malicious code into routine updates. These updates were downloaded by roughly 18,000 customers, giving intruders a backdoor into high-value networks, including U.S. federal agencies and private firms. The adversaries then exfiltrated sensitive emails, source code, and other proprietary information, highlighting the fragility of digital ecosystems built on interconnected vendors.
The breach underscored the urgent need to strengthen supply-chain security. CISA issued Emergency Directive 21-01, requiring agencies to disable compromised Orion versions, while policymakers and companies worldwide began reassessing how much trust to place in third-party software.
MOVEit Breach
In 2023, a critical SQL injection flaw (CVE-2023-34362) in MOVEit Transfer triggered one of the largest data theft campaigns in history. Exploited by the ransomware group Clop, the bug allowed attackers to exfiltrate, alter, and delete sensitive files. Security firm Emsisoft estimated that more than 62 million people and over 2,000 organizations were affected worldwide, from government agencies to universities and financial institutions. One lawyer in the resulting lawsuits called it a “cybersecurity disaster of staggering proportions.”
The MOVEit breach illustrated how a single vulnerability in widely deployed enterprise software can cascade across entire supply chains. File transfer tools like MOVEit sit at the core of data exchange between organizations, making them high-value targets. When compromised, they expose partners, customers, and millions of individuals, turning a single flaw into a global crisis. Progress Software, the vendor, now faces dozens of class-action lawsuits and regulatory investigations as scrutiny over the platform continues.
The Problem with Traditional Third-Party Risk Management
Vendor ecosystems have grown so large and complex that traditional oversight methods no longer provide meaningful assurance. What once worked when companies had a handful of core partners now struggles under the weight of hundreds or thousands of suppliers, each with their own dependencies. As reliance on outside vendors increases, organizations are forced to depend on assurances that may not reflect the reality of today’s risks.
These weaknesses show up in several key areas:
- Reliance on self-reported data. Vendor questionnaires and checklists are only as good as the answers provided. Too often, the information is outdated, incomplete, or inaccurate, leaving security teams with a false sense of assurance.
- Lack of visibility. Most organizations have little to no continuous insight into their vendors’ security posture. As supply chains grow more complex and bring in third- and fourth-party dependencies, blind spots multiply.
- Inconsistent monitoring. Assessments are typically conducted annually or quarterly, creating long windows where issues go undetected. Manual review processes also increase the risk of errors or overlooked warning signs.
- Reactive response. Many vendors delay reporting security incidents, meaning organizations often learn about breaches only after attackers have already taken advantage. Without timely signals, response efforts are always a step behind.
- Resource constraints. Monitoring a large vendor ecosystem continuously takes time and expertise that most security teams simply don’t have. Limited resources force trade-offs, leaving many vendors insufficiently assessed.
Moving to Intelligence-Led Monitoring
Threat intelligence on third-party vendors gives security teams the clarity and velocity to act on what matters most. The following capabilities illustrate how threat intelligence transforms supply chain risk management into a proactive discipline:
- Continuous monitoring. Instead of waiting for quarterly or annual assessments, continuous monitoring provides ongoing visibility into vendor ecosystems. Learn immediately when vulnerabilities emerge, configurations change, or suspicious behaviors are detected, enabling you to close the gaps that attackers exploit between audits.
- Early warning signals. By correlating threat intelligence with vendor activity, security teams can detect indicators of compromise long before they escalate into major breaches. These early warnings allow defenders to act before adversaries do.
- Contextual prioritization. Not every vulnerability is equally urgent. Threat intelligence distinguishes between flaws that are simply known and those that are already being weaponized by attackers in the wild. By flagging vulnerabilities that are actively exploited and tying them to the systems your organization actually uses, security teams can focus on the threats most likely to cause harm.
- Proactive defense. With advance notice and context, organizations can move from reacting after an incident to preventing attacks outright. Teams can patch systems, tighten vendor controls, or escalate issues for investigation before adversaries gain traction, fundamentally shifting the security posture from reactive to preventive.
- Risk-driven strategy. Intelligence empowers leaders to align decisions with actual threat activity and business impact rather than regulatory checklists alone. This creates a more resilient risk management program, where investments are guided by live data and resources are directed toward protecting the most critical assets.
The security at Novavax has changed drastically since implementing Recorded Future. We sharpened a lot of processes by introducing Third-Party Intelligence into our risk assessments, so we can make informed decisions about the vendors we do business with…A couple times now, Recorded Future has alerted us to something prior to the third-party vendor. That’s huge when we’re trying to protect our data.
Nathalie Salisbury
Strategic Threat Intelligence Analyst, Novavax
Best Practices for Enterprises
Protecting against modern supply chain attacks requires more than technical controls alone. Enterprises must establish disciplined processes that improve visibility into their vendor ecosystem, ensure business and security teams work in lockstep, and give organizations the flexibility to adapt defenses as conditions change.
The following best practices outline where organizations should focus to build resilience against supply chain threats:
- Map and prioritize vendors. Begin by inventorying all your suppliers and categorizing them into risk tiers based on the sensitivity of the systems and data they touch. High-impact vendors such as cloud providers, SaaS platforms, or MSPs with privileged access should receive the closest scrutiny. This step ensures limited resources are directed where compromise would have the greatest impact.
- Integrate external threat intelligence. Internal audits only reveal what’s happening inside your own environment. By bringing in external intelligence from open web sources, dark web monitoring, and technical telemetry, organizations gain an outside-in view of vendor risk and can identify vendors linked to active exploits, data leaks, or malicious activity.
- Continuously monitor risks. Periodic check-ins are not enough. Automated monitoring tools can detect vendor vulnerabilities, misconfigurations, or anomalous behavior in real time, uncovering issues long before the next scheduled assessment.
- Collaborate across teams. Supply chain defense is not solely a security function. Procurement, IT, risk management, and legal must work together to align vendor oversight with business goals and regulatory requirements. Shared visibility and coordinated playbooks ensure that when incidents occur, the response is swift and consistent across the organization.
- Address remote workforce risks. Vendors’ employees often work outside the protections of enterprise monitoring, using personal devices or remote connections that expand the attack surface. Strong endpoint controls, strict remote access policies, and monitoring of distributed work environments are necessary to prevent these blind spots from becoming entry points for attackers.
- Adopt a risk-first approach. Compliance checklists can satisfy auditors but won’t stop an adversary. Instead, enterprises should prioritize mitigation based on live threat activity and the potential business impact of each vendor relationship. This type of strategy helps organizations allocate resources where they matter most and avoid wasting effort on low-impact exposures.
How Recorded Future Strengthens Supply Chain Defense
Recorded Future moves enterprises beyond static, reactive approaches to a proactive, intelligence-driven model for supply chain security.
Instead of snapshots that quickly go stale, organizations gain continuous visibility into vendor ecosystems, backed by real-time monitoring, transparent risk scoring, and AI-powered insights. This combination reduces blind spots, prioritizes the threats that truly matter, and enables faster, more confident decision-making.
Here’s how Recorded Future strengthens supply chain defense:
- Continuous monitoring. Recorded Future tracks vendors and third-party technologies, and provides r immediate alerts, transparent risk scoring, and contextual insights when threats emerge. Data is sourced from the broadest set of data, including the open web, dark web, technical telemetry, and vetted intelligence sources, ensuring no critical signal is missed.
- Transparent risk scoring. Dynamic and transparent scoring highlights which vendors, technologies, or exposures pose the greatest potential risk. Security teams can focus resources on the threats most likely to impact critical operations, instead of drowning in noise.
- AI-driven insights. Built-in artificial intelligence cuts through information overload by filtering irrelevant data, surfacing actionable intelligence, and providing context that accelerates analysis, cross-team communication, and remediation.
- Contextual intelligence. Recorded Futures maps third-party exposures to attacker tactics, techniques, and procedures (TTPs), with evidence-based recommendations for response. Security leaders understand not just what is vulnerable, but why it matters and how to act.
- Seamless integration. Recorded Future plugs directly into existing platforms such as GRC, SIEM, and ticketing systems. Risk signals enhance established security workflows, rather than disrupt them.
By uniting intelligence, automation, and context, Recorded Future enables enterprises to see risk across their entire supply chain in real time and act before attackers can exploit the weakest link.
See how Recorded Future can help your organization protect your entire supply chain. Request a demo to get started.
What are supply chain attacks?
Supply chain attacks target an organization's vendors or partners to gain access to the organization’s network or systems. These attacks often involve compromising software updates, hardware, or third-party services that are integral to an enterprise’s operations. The goal is usually to exploit vulnerabilities in the supply chain to infiltrate and potentially cause widespread damage.
Why are supply chain attacks on the rise?
Supply chain attacks are becoming more common due to the increasing complexity of global supply chains and the growing reliance on third-party vendors. Attackers are targeting these weaker links to gain access to high-value targets, exploiting vulnerabilities in trusted relationships and technology partnerships. The rise of interconnected systems and remote work also contributes to the increased risk.
Why are traditional third-party risk checklists not enough?
Traditional third-party risk management methods, such as static checklists and manual assessments, often rely on self-reported data and do not provide real-time visibility. These methods are reactive and fail to adapt to the constantly evolving threat landscape. As a result, enterprises lack the ability to identify emerging risks and respond quickly to threats.
How can enterprises detect and prevent supply chain attacks in real-time?
Enterprises can detect and prevent supply chain attacks in real-time by integrating threat intelligence solutions that provide continuous monitoring, early warning signals, and automated risk scoring of supply chain vendors. These platforms offer up-to-date insights, enabling security teams to identify vulnerabilities and potential threats as they emerge, allowing for proactive defense measures.