New Research Finds Cyber Exploits Can Be Anticipated With an Accuracy of 83%

New Research Finds Cyber Exploits Can Be Anticipated With an Accuracy of 83%

July 14, 2015 • Caroline Flannery

Immediately Available: Download your free copy of this exclusive report here.

Security teams have the daunting task of trying to keep abreast of unpatched and zero-day vulnerabilities inside their organization. With so many threats and exploits in the wild, it’s difficult to know which vulnerabilities will result in an actual exploit and cause harm. Making early assessments can help security managers discover possible threats in advance and prioritize vulnerability management.

In a new research study, Recorded Future found that cyber exploits can be anticipated with an accuracy of 83% using open vulnerability data. We used machine learning (ML) and data mining to examine correlations in vulnerability data, which allowed our analysts to find the types of vulnerabilities most likely to be exploited.

We took data from the National Vulnerability Database, CVSS, and Common Weakness Enumeration (CWE) numbers and converted them into a mathematical model that can be used with ML algorithms. Our team examined how different features (e.g., access vector, frequency, severity score) contribute to performance function, and benchmarked multiple ML algorithms to compare their relative performance. Using these methods, we found that it is possible to arrive at an anticipation accuracy of 83%.

To learn more about Recorded Future’s study and how we’re helping organizations find and assess threats early, download the report or contact us for a demo.

New call-to-action

Related Posts

Why Monitoring the Dark Web is Essential for Third-Party Risk Management

Why Monitoring the Dark Web is Essential for Third-Party Risk Management

May 13, 2021 • Trevor Lyness

The dark web is often portrayed as vast, mysterious, and out of reach for companies without...

Simplify and Accelerate Threat Hunting with High-Speed, High-Confidence Threat Intelligence

Simplify and Accelerate Threat Hunting with High-Speed, High-Confidence Threat Intelligence

April 15, 2021 • Neha Mehra

As your attack surface continues to grow -- expanding into the cloud and employees working from...

How Contextualized Intelligence Maximizes Security Outcomes in SecOps Tools

How Contextualized Intelligence Maximizes Security Outcomes in SecOps Tools

April 14, 2021 • Ellen Wilson

As the attack surface grows,  it’s difficult for security teams to maintain a comprehensive,...